Saturday, July 18, 2020

Covid19 Projections in India by Dec 2020 (MN2M)

Covid19 is going to be around for quite some time.   There is no vaccine for Covid19 yet.   Drugs for treatment of Covid19 can be expected in a few months.  

 

Assuming that a vaccine is developed by Dec 2020, it would take further six months to produce and to administer the vaccine to every citizen in India.   Say, by June 2021.  Until then, Covid19 would continue to spread.

 

#Covid19   Today, the total affected cases have crossed 10 lakhs in India.   If the current trend continues, then by Dec 2020, we may have more than 200 lakh Covid19 affected people in India.  

 

By mid-2021, we would acquire adequate herd immunity in India (even without a vaccine).   Of course, we would have some effective drugs for Covid19 by this yearend.


Jaikishan

18th July 2020.

MN2M = My Notes To Myself.

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