Covid19 Projections Noted in my Diary on 21st April 2020

The actual figures of #Covid19 affected people in India on 20^th April 2020 was  17250.

 

It was doubling once in 11 days then.    I guessed then, if it doubles once in 15 days, then the count of affected persons in India would be:

 

5^th May  34500

 

20^th May  69000

 

5^th June   128000

 

20^th June 250000

 

5^th July  5 lakhs

 

20^th July 10 lakhs

 

5^th Aug 20 lakhs

 

 

Was surprised to notice now that the projected count of 20^th July 2020 (that I noted in my diary on 21^st April 2020) is almost on the dot.   Hence, posted this on my blog for my consumption.

 

Shall post another one tomorrow on the projections by Dec 2020, as per me.   Just for my info, and to see how the actual figures would unfold.  Shall also share my thoughts on #Covid19.

 

Jaikishan

17^th July 2020